Essential Information Group

January 2024 Newsletter

EIG monthly Newsletter

Essential Auction News

2023 proved to be a turbulent year for the property industry, with auctions reflecting the broader market challenges. Factors such as rising mortgage rates, the impact of the cost-of-living crisis, and general economic uncertainty influenced the intentions of buyers and sellers alike.

Auctions experienced a significant 16.6% growth in the number of lots brought to sale, resulting in a commendable 13.1% increase in properties successfully sold under the gavel. However, this growth comes with cautious considerations. The overall success rate dipped compared to the previous year, while the total amount raised showed modest growth at 1.5% against a background in which values fell in both Residential and Commercial sectors, as vendors were even more motivated to sell.

Delving into the residential sector, the surge in sales by 14.8% and a more conservative growth in total raised by 4.9% contributed to a year-on-year decrease in the average sale price to £168,426 - a notable 8.6% drop from 2022. This marks the first decrease in recent history, mirroring what is being reported by the private treaty sector by estate agencies. The amount of decrease could be down to numerous factors, including variations in property type and size coming to auction with overall lower value stock coming to market, as well as differences in regional performance too. Despite this, there are positive indicators of market improvement. Buyer confidence appears to be rebounding with the gradual reduction in mortgage interest rates, making January 2024 poised to be one of the busiest on record. In the commercial arena, a level of stagnancy suggests sustained interest from investors. However, the drop in total raised for 2023 warrants attention for those planning transactions in the coming months.

Taking a regional perspective, most areas experienced an upswing in overall metrics for the past quarter, with some variations in the residential/commercial split. Noteworthy are the unexpected trends in two key auction regions - West Midlands and Yorkshire and the Humber - both witnessing a decline in properties brought to auction and subsequently sold. Monitoring the early 2024 sales in these regions may unveil insights to consider if you are interested in these areas.

We are looking forward to seeing what 2024 holds for the property market, and as always, we welcome your feedback.

Please note the newsletter can also be viewed online.

Kind regards

David Sandeman
davids@eigroup.co.uk

P.S. Here at the Essential Information Group we maintain a database of virtually every property coming up for sale at auction as well as almost 900,000 lots that have been to auction in the past. It is fully searchable and allows you to identify properties coming up for sale that you might be interested in, and to see what similar properties have sold for in the past.

If you would like a trial of our website, please register here.

Overall Statistics December 2023
Total Lots Offered 3,402
Total Lots Sold 2,473
Percent Sold 72.7%
Total Realised £467,828,900

National Auction Analysis

Overall

N.B. Figures in brackets denote the comparative period last year

December 2023 October 2023 to December 2023 January 2023 to December 2023
Lots Offered 3,402 (3,665) 7.2% 9,583 (9,164) 4.6% 36,002 (30,886) 16.6%
Lots Sold 2,473 (2,507) 1.4% 6,647 (6,080) 9.3% 25,214 (22,292) 13.1%
Percent Sold 72.7% (68.4%) 6.3% 69.4% (66.3%) 4.7% 70.0% (72.2%) 3.0%
Total Raised £467.8M (£446.0M) 4.9% £1,280.8M (£1,160.4M) 10.4% £4,760.1M (£4,690.6M) 1.5%

Residential

N.B. Figures in brackets denote the comparative period last year

December 2023 October 2023 to December 2023 January 2023 to December 2023
Lots Offered 2,960 (3,309) 10.5% 8,412 (8,173) 2.9% 31,549 (26,559) 18.8%
Lots Sold 2,154 (2,250) 4.3% 5,865 (5,381) 9.0% 22,116 (19,268) 14.8%
Percent Sold 72.8% (68.0%) 7.1% 69.7% (65.8%) 5.9% 70.1% (72.5%) 3.3%
Total Raised £362.2M (£353.1M) 2.6% £994.6M (£901.6M) 10.3% £3,724.9M (£3,552.6M) 4.9%

Commercial

N.B. Figures in brackets denote the comparative period last year

December 2023 October 2023 to December 2023 January 2023 to December 2023
Lots Offered 442 (356) 24.2% 1,171 (991) 18.2% 4,453 (4,327) 2.9%
Lots Sold 319 (257) 24.1% 782 (699) 11.9% 3,098 (3,024) 2.4%
Percent Sold 72.2% (72.2%) 0.0% 66.8% (70.5%) 5.2% 69.6% (69.9%) 0.4%
Total Raised £105.7M (£92.9M) 13.8% £286.1M (£258.8M) 10.6% £1,035.2M (£1,138.0M) 9.0%

Regional Auction Analysis

As is usually the case, variations across all the measurable parameters can be seen across the regions.

N.B. Figures in brackets denote the comparative period last year

East-AngliaEast Anglia

(Includes Cambridgeshire, Norfolk, Suffolk)

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 442 (358) 23.5% 396 (313) 26.5% 46 (45) 2.2%
Lots Sold 322 (246) 30.9% 290 (212) 36.8% 32 (34) 5.9%
Percent Sold 72.9% (68.7%) 6.1% 73.2% (67.7%) 8.1% 69.6% (75.6%) 7.9%
Total Raised £54.8M (£50.1M) 9.4% £46.9M (£35.9M) 30.8% £7.9M (£14.2M) 44.2%

East-MidlandsEast Midlands

(Includes Derbyshire, Leicestershire, Lincolnshire, Northamptonshire, Nottinghamshire, Rutland)

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 704 (704) 0.0% 612 (635) 3.6% 92 (69) 33.3%
Lots Sold 531 (473) 12.3% 456 (419) 8.8% 75 (54) 38.9%
Percent Sold 75.4% (67.2%) 12.2% 74.5% (66.0%) 12.9% 81.5% (78.3%) 4.1%
Total Raised £82.3M (£75.7M) 8.8% £63.4M (£59.0M) 7.4% £18.9M (£16.7M) 13.6%

LondonLondon

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 720 (726) 0.8% 656 (644) 1.9% 64 (82) 22.0%
Lots Sold 518 (499) 3.8% 472 (432) 9.3% 46 (67) 31.3%
Percent Sold 71.9% (68.7%) 4.7% 72.0% (67.1%) 7.3% 71.9% (81.7%) 12.0%
Total Raised £245.5M (£233.6M) 5.1% £206.8M (£179.2M) 15.4% £38.8M (£54.4M) 28.8%

North-EastNorth-East

(Includes Cleveland, County Durham, Northumberland, Tyne and Wear)

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 679 (602) 12.8% 632 (577) 9.5% 47 (25) 88.0%
Lots Sold 489 (381) 28.3% 458 (362) 26.5% 31 (19) 63.2%
Percent Sold 72.0% (63.3%) 13.7% 72.5% (62.7%) 15.6% 66.0% (76.0%) 13.2%
Total Raised £34.9M (£32.2M) 8.2% £30.2M (£23.9M) 26.1% £4.7M (£8.3M) 43.2%

North-WestNorth-West

(Includes Cheshire, Cumbria, Isle of Man, Lancashire, Merseyside)

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 1,457 (1,475) 1.2% 1,331 (1,332) 0.1% 126 (143) 11.9%
Lots Sold 976 (961) 1.6% 892 (869) 2.6% 84 (92) 8.7%
Percent Sold 67.0% (65.2%) 2.8% 67.0% (65.2%) 2.8% 66.7% (64.3%) 3.7%
Total Raised £124.4M (£104.0M) 19.6% £93.6M (£82.8M) 12.9% £30.8M (£21.2M) 45.5%

North-West-Home-CountiesNorth-West Home Counties

(Includes Bedfordshire, Berkshire, Buckinghamshire, Hertfordshire, Middlesex, Oxfordshire)

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 670 (615) 8.9% 584 (552) 5.8% 86 (63) 36.5%
Lots Sold 469 (417) 12.5% 410 (376) 9.0% 59 (41) 43.9%
Percent Sold 70.0% (67.8%) 3.2% 70.2% (68.1%) 3.1% 68.6% (65.1%) 5.4%
Total Raised £131.6M (£110.6M) 19.0% £96.1M (£87.2M) 10.3% £35.4M (£23.4M) 51.4%

Northern-IrelandNorthern Ireland

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 63 (58) 8.6% 46 (43) 7.0% 17 (15) 13.3%
Lots Sold 25 (15) 66.7% 19 (9) 111.1% 6 (6) 0.0%
Percent Sold 39.7% (25.9%) 53.3% 41.3% (20.9%) 97.6% 35.3% (40.0%) 11.8%
Total Raised £2.1M (£4.3M) 50.4% £2.0M (£2.3M) 14.6% £0.2M (£2.0M) 91.3%

ScotlandScotland

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 284 (257) 10.5% 170 (174) 2.3% 114 (83) 37.3%
Lots Sold 112 (92) 21.7% 66 (52) 26.9% 46 (40) 15.0%
Percent Sold 39.4% (35.8%) 10.1% 38.8% (29.9%) 29.8% 40.4% (48.2%) 16.2%
Total Raised £19.4M (£8.7M) 123.3% £5.4M (£2.9M) 82.5% £14.0M (£5.7M) 144.2%

South-East-Home-CountiesSouth-East Home Counties

(Includes Channel Islands, East Sussex, Essex, Hampshire, Isle of Wight, Kent, Surrey, West Sussex)

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 1,455 (1,258) 15.7% 1,322 (1,132) 16.8% 133 (126) 5.6%
Lots Sold 978 (807) 21.2% 881 (716) 23.0% 97 (91) 6.6%
Percent Sold 67.2% (64.1%) 4.8% 66.6% (63.3%) 5.2% 72.9% (72.2%) 1.0%
Total Raised £224.0M (£190.4M) 17.6% £182.6M (£155.6M) 17.4% £41.4M (£34.9M) 18.6%

South-WestSouth-West

(Includes Avon, Cornwall, Devon, Dorset, Gloucestershire, Isles of Scilly, Somerset, Wiltshire)

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 794 (681) 16.6% 644 (585) 10.1% 150 (96) 56.3%
Lots Sold 585 (497) 17.7% 471 (419) 12.4% 114 (78) 46.2%
Percent Sold 73.7% (73.0%) 1.0% 73.1% (71.6%) 2.1% 76.0% (81.2%) 6.4%
Total Raised £122.0M (£107.2M) 13.8% £91.9M (£87.0M) 5.6% £30.1M (£20.2M) 49.0%

WalesWales

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 647 (575) 12.5% 553 (498) 11.0% 94 (77) 22.1%
Lots Sold 403 (368) 9.5% 350 (318) 10.1% 53 (50) 6.0%
Percent Sold 62.3% (64.0%) 2.7% 63.3% (63.9%) 0.9% 56.4% (64.9%) 13.1%
Total Raised £47.0M (£47.1M) 0.1% £38.2M (£37.3M) 2.5% £8.8M (£9.8M) 10.1%

West-MidlandsWest Midlands

(Includes Herefordshire, Shropshire, Staffordshire, Warwickshire, West Midlands, Worcestershire)

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 905 (965) 6.2% 798 (853) 6.4% 107 (112) 4.5%
Lots Sold 682 (715) 4.6% 602 (628) 4.1% 80 (87) 8.0%
Percent Sold 75.4% (74.1%) 1.8% 75.4% (73.6%) 2.4% 74.8% (77.7%) 3.7%
Total Raised £112.6M (£122.7M) 8.3% £80.6M (£91.5M) 11.9% £31.9M (£31.2M) 2.2%

Yorkshire-and-The-HumberYorkshire and The Humber

(Includes North Humberside, North Yorkshire, South Humberside, South Yorkshire, West Yorkshire)

October 2023 to December 2023 Total Residential Commercial
Lots Offered 763 (890) 14.3% 668 (835) 20.0% 95 (55) 72.7%
Lots Sold 557 (609) 8.5% 498 (569) 12.5% 59 (40) 47.5%
Percent Sold 73.0% (68.4%) 6.7% 74.6% (68.1%) 9.5% 62.1% (72.7%) 14.6%
Total Raised £80.1M (£73.7M) 8.8% £57.0M (£56.9M) 0.1% £23.2M (£16.7M) 38.4%

Disclaimer: The figures in this newsletter are based on sales data provided to us by the auctioneers.

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